Bitcoin funding rates show demand to short BTC as $40K becomes resistance


Bitcoin (BTC) consolidated under $40,000 on April 23 as market expectations favored further losses.

50e77d72 c127 412d bbac da13230eeccc
BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

“Extreme fear” accompanies Bitcoin’s descent to $39,200

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView followed a bearish BTC/USD after the pair touched $39,200 on Friday’s Wall Street open.

Falling in line with stocks, Bitcoin now faced the prospect of resistance cementing itself at the $40,000 mark, with traders showing their lack of confidence in a short-term rebound.

Data from on-chain analytics site Coinglass confirmed that funding rates across derivatives exchanges were firmly negative into the weekend, suggesting that the majority of market participants expected shorting to be a profitable next trade.

22654395 4186 415a 8e39 d7bf62b880de
BTC funding rates chart. Source: Coinglass

For analyst Filbfilb, co-founder of trading suite Decentrader, the ratio of long to short positions was a furthe cause for concern.

“Bitcoin back on this crucial level here. Losing this -> $36K seems next,” Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe added in a fresh Twitter update on the day.

BTC/USD circled $39,800 at the time of writing, having avoided a trip to take buy liquidity below $38,000 so far.

Cold feet among traders was meanwhile echoed in sentiment gauges, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index heading back into the “extreme fear” zone on Saturday.

765b8f71 5717 4b8a 9fe1 3b2cb5041b1d
Crypto Fear & Greed Index (screenshot). Source: Alternative.me

DXY resistance sought for BTC trend break

Despite the lack of confidence, not everyone was interested in abandoning their faith in Bitcoin beyond the short term.

Related: Nasdaq has dotcom crash ‘deja vu’ says trader as Bitcoin correlation rises

“Prepare yourself for the next runup. Historically speaking, this has been one of the best ranges for buying Bitcoin!” popular YouTuber Crypto Rover argued alongside a chart comparing Bitcoin price performance to the strength of the U.S. dollar. 

dcdd7901 417b 4188 baa1 f1e469ca4565
U.S. dollar currency index (DXY) vs. BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Crypto Rover/ Twitter

As Cointelegraph reported, the U.S. dollar currency index (DXY) is currently near two-year highs, and a reversal has historically given Bitcoin the fuel to crack long-term downtrends.

7ab94fde 39ab 4807 8231 f502fb8ccef8
U.S. dollar currency index (DXY) 1-week candle chart. Source: TradingView

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.